How to Execute your Strategy Like a Professional.

You must be able to Easily Inspect the Internals of your Strategy.

With ULTRA you'll always know exactly why a buy or sell signal occurs. With the Date Analysis function you get a graphical view of any system. This view shows buy/sell signals as well as every indicator the system uses to generate the signals.

The graph below shows ULTRA's AIBB system based in the AAII bullish and bearish percentages. The top section of the graph is the SPX with buy and sell signals indicated with green and red arrows. The bottom section of the graph is the primary indicator AIBB uses to generate its buy and sell signals.

The ability to view the system's internal indicators shows you exactly why a signal occurred and give you complete confidence of the accuracy of the signal.

 

For Decades, the Smartest Investors have used
COMPOSITE STRATEGIES to tell them WHEN to be invested.

ULTRA Allows you to Build, test, and use
Composite Strategies Quickly and Easily.

A Composite Strategy is a simple concept. However, it is usually very difficult to test and operate them in real-time. Large money managers often have full-time employees who compute their strategies. With ULTRA anyone can build and operate extremely complex strategies easily.

A very simple example consists of two of our original systems (PENTAD and YROC) released in 1994.

@sys
PENTAD,1 *ND
YROC,1 *ND
@ALL
0,0
1,0
2,100
@end

The text above is a Composte Strategy Defiintion File (CDF). As you can see both PENTAD and YROC have Weights of 1. If PENTAD last generated a buy signal, its weight is added to the Total Score.

The section following the @ALL line determine the position the strategy is to take depending on the Total Score.

  • As you can see, if just one of the systems is on a buy signal, the Total Score would be 1. A Total Score of 1 calls for a 0% long position in the @ALL section.
  • If both systems were on buy signals the strategy would be 100% long.
  • If zero systems were on buy signals the strategy would be 0% long, earning risk-free interest at the Commercial Paper rate.
  • The *ND flag delays the buy/sell signals by one day. This allows you to download the daily data, run your strategy, and then casually make your transaction on the day AFTER the buy/sell signal occurs.

If you had traded this simple Composite Stratgy for the SPX when we released it in 1994, you would have gained +10.3% per year while the SPX gained 8.7%. Most importantly your maximum drawdown would have only been -10.8% compared to -49.2% for the SPX. In real-time (01/02/94 to 08/13/07), this simple strategy has outperformed the SPX, had 83% winning trades and suffered 1/10th the account volatility as buy/hold as measured by the Ulcer Index.

With ULTRA, Composite Strategies of unlimited complexity can be designed and tested against any of our database items many of which start in 1942. Or you can test against any other stock or index in an external data file.

ULTRA Gives you the Ability to run your Composite Strategies and have
the Recommendations and Previous year Results in Seconds.

The screen below took 12 seconds to generate on our computer. It details the current recommendations of three Composite Strategies combined into a strategy set named CA_EASY.TXT.

As you can see:

  • In the POS column, all three strategeis, c_smay.txt, c_seasp.txt, c_cot1.txt are 0% invested.
  • The Year-to-date gains (Gain YTD) and maximum drawdowns (MDD YTD) for each strategy are indicated.
  • All of the strategies are trading the SPX but you could have any number of strategies each trading different indexes or gold, bonds, stocks, etc.
  • The strategies have a Weights of 1 indicating they each are responsible for 1/3 of the portfolio (weight divided by total weights = 1/3). If c_smay.txt had a weight of 2 instead, it would then be responsible for 2/4 = 50% of the portfolio.
  • The previous year's results are also displayed (2006).
  • We have been using this strategy set in real-time for many years. So far in 2007, it has gained 5.9% while the SPX has gained 2.4%. (Considering that we trade Rydex Nova with these strategeis our 2007 returns are actually much higher.)

 

ULTRA Gives you the Ability to test any Combination of
Composite Strategies, each trading it's own index with the Results
Combined into an Overall Strategic Portfolio.

The screen below is the historical results of the CA_EASY.TXT group of Composite Strategies combined together exactly as if they were being traded in real-time.

Imagine having a group of your own personal strategies, one trading the SPX, one trading the NDX, one trading Bonds, Gold, etc, and being able to see exactly how they'd have performed together historically. That is the power that ULTRA will give you.

If you'd like information on how to order ULTRA click HERE.

There's much more we can tell you about developing a robust, profitable, and low-risk investment strategy of your very own. Click on NEXT below for much more valuable information...

1 2 3 4

ULTRA Financial Systems Inc.
P.O. Box 3938
Breckenridge CO 80424
Phone: 970-453-4956 Fax: 970-453-2467

Serving The Brightest Minds in the Investment Business for over 15 years!